Thursday, January 23, 2014

237. How a Compassionate Cruelty Program Could Be Kept Going

 
All right, the Alliance for Security and Advancement makes this great start and then what?  Nations get tired of making the necessary sacrifices in goods and trade and Americans get tired of watching all the suffering they are allowing or causing.  Once again reality throws its weight against high resolve.  Another flawlessly theorized program grinds to a halt.

So how will my super president, my Bismarck of the democracies, keep his alliance going and his own people in line?

Well, with the alliance he's got a wonderful resource at hand: money.  Just what Britain had to keep its allies going against Napoleon.  He deals it out as needed, according to the chances of defection.  Remember, the U. S. is not only the richest nation in the world, it's saving money.  By not doing invasions, and maintaining armies abroad, and rebuilding defeated countries, this president can more than make up the losses other advanced nations will suffer.  By the Iraq measure alone he's got over a trillion dollars to play with.  I think that kind of money will do the job.

Next the suffering in the backward countries his people will have to stand by and watch.  This is the really big problem.  No matter how well they have pictured the suffering, no matter how well they have prepared themselves to bear the sight of it, no matter how thoroughly they have blotted out their contribution to those people's earlier suffering, or the presence among them of people to whom the suffering can teach nothing (the already advanced, moderate people), when the sufferers appear on a television screen they can't stand it.  None of us can stand it.  At this point all our softened hearts will cry out for an end to neglect and cruelty.  No matter how convinced we were that it would end in greater humanity.

This may be an insurmountable problem.  A compassionate cruelty program may run so counter to human nature that it's not worth trying to implement.  Especially when the media, the screens, are so alert to cruelty, so quick to stoke compassion.

I can't see any president, no matter how super, opposing this alone, and on the spot.  He'd need the help of prior education, particularly the kind that develops the imagination., the faculty that let's us call up, ahead of time, the images our schemes, our plans, our programs, our desires, will produce.  All that we have committed ourselves to.  In Churchill's time, for the British. it would have been the blood, the sweat, the tears, the cruelty they were going to inflict, the suffering they were going to have to watch.  "Go ahead, Mr. Prime Minister, bomb Dusseldorf no matter how many good Germans are in it."  Collateral cruelty goes with the program.

Here for Americans it would be the ability to see, at the moment they pictured little girls of the future growing up whole and happy, the little girls whose present suffering CNN would put before them each night.  The price paid for the better future. 

What would the American president have to have in order to give his people, in such a short time, this ability to see and accept?  Churchillian eloquence?  Maybe.  For the short term.  For the long term only education, going through history books seeing how much cruelty and injustice is attached to every advance in humanity and justice.  Without some education like that in the populace his eloquence might well fail. 

If he succeeds, his speeches to the moderate, advanced people inside a backward country will not be unlike the speeches Churchill might have made to good Germans.  Our president could, with his people behind him, say, "This suffering, this damage, good Iranians, is the price you pay for putting up with leaders like Khameini, giving them the final say."  Or, borrowing from Mao, he could say to the general citizenry, "You, your culture, your religion, determine the water, the temperature of it, the acidity, in which these jihadist fish swim.  Do something about it or suffer with them."

"But think how we made them suffer, so wrongly, in 1953 ," say the Soft Hearts beside him.  "You are victimizing your own victims."

Here our president has to become a philosopher. "Reconsider," he says.  "Are we trying to satisfy the dead or provide for the living?  I ask the question here as I ask it in Israel, where satisfaction of the Holocaust dead is so urgent.  In both places the welfare of the living and their descendants comes first.  Sure we feel guilty, but that has nothing to do with our decisions and plans."

God knows if that will work.  The president wonders too.  All of those hurting hearts, all of those willing hands, all wanting to help.   So he does things that would shock the pants off philosophers if they ever found out about it.  He has the CIA slip all kinds of aid into the backward countries — arms for the opposition, trainers, advisers, any American (as long as he's not wearing boots) who can help.  And, where he can get away with it, he lies about their presence and mission.  Also, there are the organizations he doesn't have to lie about, the NGOs.  All the while he's been talking up toughness he's been cranking up the NGOs.  Anything to reduce the suffering that will be seen on TV, anything to grease the Soft-Hearts over the rough part of the track.

That lying.  It's a bad thing, but like many a bad thing it's done to accomplish a good thing.  Here the good thing is the best thing any 21st-century president could ever give his country: quagmire protection.  Americans risk a quagmire any time they enter a win-lose situation.  Americans hate to lose a fight.  They hate to have their credibility reduced, their word doubted, their standing lowered.  Most of all they hate to see their buddies die in vain.  They're used to fights that win independence, free slaves, repay Lafayette, avenge Pearl Harbor, stop fascism, and contain communism.  American blood on an island sanctifies it.  "Give back Okinawa?  Have you no gratitude?"  Just the other day (1-10-14), on the front page of the Times: "Fallujah’s Fall Stuns Marines Who Fought There."  It's to keep Americans from feeling and saying such things that American presidents keep the country going in a fight, no matter how hopeless or ill-considered.

Well this president knows from history that if he doesn't give his country a clear-cut victory in a good cause there's not much in it for him at the termination of a war or end to his term.  Fight for eight years, clearly benefit one people, the Iraqi Shi-ites, and have them throw their shoes at you (Bush).  Or clearly benefit nobody and, after a much greater effort to avoid failure, have to retire (Johnson).

This president also knows that that force, the force against losing, kicks in as soon as Americans think they're officially in a fight.  One way is to stay out of unwinnable fights. The other way is to keep whatever fight you're in from becoming official.  No bell bringing you out of your corner.  If you've sent trainers and advisers you never call them fighters.  You even deny their presence. You lie.  You cheat, you steal, you do anything to keep Americans from saying, "It's our boys against their boys now, and our boys don't lose" — as they could say as soon as Johnson sent the Marines into combat at Da Nang and Bush said go to General Schwarzkopf.  In short this president knows that there is a slippery edge he can never put his foot over, because once he does these forces will keep him from pulling it back.  And they operate for years.

Of course eventually one of the members of our free and enterprising press is going to point out that the president's trainers and advisers aren't really trainers and advisers, and that it's the CIA that is pulling the NGO strings.  What's a quagmire compared to the chance for a Pulitzer?

This is the final challenge and though it's not the biggest it may be the hardest for the president to meet.  Maybe he can't, by himself.  He needs PR people.  But God, what an assignment!  "I want you to spin this so that by the end of the month everybody on television is singing  'God bless the CIA.'"

Well, let's say the super president has super PR people.   And gives them two months.  So that he can work in his speech about how this is a new kind of war, requiring covert fighting.  So he can build up agents as fighters.  Better make it three months.  Time for the movies he'll encourage, or plant.  Under Cover in the Swat Valley.  Sleeper Agent in Pakistan.  He Penetrated the ISI.  Anything to take attention off the win-lose Army and put it on the FBI and CIA, whose success or failure is so slowly and dimly revealed.

Maybe he should make it four months.  Give him time to work on Congress for laws fitting the security-liberties balance to a war that's inside our borders as much as outside.  Time to loosen up the courts a little.  So he won't have to be breaking any laws.  No, four is too long.  Come on, Senate, this isn't 1965.  Come on, Supreme Court, the Department of Homeland Security isn't the Stasi.

OK, three months it is.  Super performance by everybody and on CNN a mother whose three sons were in the terrorist-targeted building says, "Thank God for the CIA."
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