Thursday, February 19, 2015
279. "The Utter Absurdity of War"
Friday, April 19, 2013
199. Embracing "Gay Marriage," Holding on to Socrates
Monday, August 13, 2012
162. Looking On
Saturday, October 22, 2011
88. Pictures. Meaning, Facts.
When I'm told animals are "in danger" I picture fellow creatures I want to help. If I know that a human being is responsible — as the hobby farmer who went away without providing enough water for his stock was — I get angry. I picture cows and pigs and chickens gasping for a drink. I see them dying.
When I'm told that a species is in danger and that human beings are responsible my first pictures make me even angrier. I see families of gorillas dying on mountain slopes — as I once saw, in a movie, herds of dinosaurs gasping on a plain. A whole species going down! Who did this?
Then, when I pay closer attention to the meaning of the words I'm hearing, I realize that "animals" and "species" refer to quite different things, and if death is what affects me then I have to distinguish them. There is no relation between the scenes of animal death that arouse my anger and the security of the species. Animals with many of their kind in the world will die in as much pain as animals with few of their kind, and there will be more of them. In a world of constant predation, disease, and deprivation secure species supply me with more pitiable scenes than endangered species do.
By responding to words more thoughtfully I understand the fellow-creature problem better and that makes me a better member of the community of those who love animals and are concerned about the future. I will have seen that there are two issues here, and that I will damage their discussion, and their campaign — or, better, campaigns — if I confuse them. There's animal death with its causes and consequences and there's species extinction with its causes and consequences. Responsibilities may coincide but they are different.
Words both have meaning and generate pictures and sometimes the pictures take us a lot further than the meaning permits us to go. If the word-suggested picture is reinforced by a television picture we may be taken so far we'll never get back to the meaning. I hear "terrorist" and think "threat." I see five bodies around a bus stop and think "awful threat." I see thirty in a market place and think "monstrous threat." I'm feeling just what a "terrorist," according to the dictionary, wants me to feel, threatened. But how big a threat are these terrorists? The fact is that our chances of dying at the hand of a terrorist are lower than the chances of our dying by walking across the street. Do we consider that when we declare "war" on terrorists, in response to their "war" on us? There's no comparison. Think of what a threat of "war" means to a nation (tens, maybe hundreds, of thousands killed, billions spent). It's not close to what a "terrorist campaign" threatens. Yet there we go, picture-driven, into war.
It was pictures (starving children with flies on their faces) that drove us into Somalia and pictures (helicopter down, American bodies dragged through the streets) that drove us out. It was pictures of Belgian babies with their hands cut off, some say, that drove the Allies at the Germans in World War I. It was a word-picture of Kuwaiti babies taken from their incubators and left to die on the floor that first drove us into Iraq. There are always other forces driving us, of course, but the power is in the pictures — as the propaganda experts who provided those Belgian and Kuwaiti pictures well knew.
Attention to pictures, even false ones, can work for good (driving us into Nazi Germany) or for ill (driving us into Iraq) but it's clear, after all we have seen in the last hundred years, that only attention to meanings and facts can work for understanding. The pictures that drive us never tell us whether we should or should not be driven.
Tuesday, October 18, 2011
86. "Testosterone"
Friday, April 22, 2011
21. Dancing Around Clausewitz.
"It's war, stupid." That can well be on your wall, but if you are a leader of a NATO nation now you can't act on it. The people you are sending in to help force Qaddafi out have to be called "liaison officers" (NYT, 4-21-11), as the people Lyndon Johnson first sent into Viet Nam had to be called (as we are calling the people we will leave behind in Afghanistan) "advisers" and "trainers." Nobody wants to be "at war."
To fill in the wall message I like to go to Carl von Clausewitz, whom I hear saying, "Look, the only way you can make some leaders do things is kill their people. The people you send to do that are called 'soldiers' and the thing they will be doing is called 'war,' whose law of escalation into worse and worse killing I have explained. Don't deceive yourself into thinking your use of force leads to anything else."
Are the statesmen who send liaison officers and advisers deceiving themselves? If so Clausewitz's "realpolitik" shows up their "illusion politics." If they are not deceiving themselves, if they see the reality of war as they hide it, I think those statesmen are a rebuke to Clausewitz and to those who define "realism" so narrowly. They see a political reality that makes calling things by their right (that is, accurate) names unrealistic. They see a public that denies votes to speakers of "war." On Clausewitz's wall they'd put "It's the election, stupid."
This is the pain of U. S. Presidents: both wall statements are true. Sometimes they need to remind themselves of one, sometimes the other. The trick is in changing them to meet the times. What a problem! By now Obama's wall must look like a bad mathematician's blackboard.
The better leaders of democracies can calculate coming pain the better they'll know how to reduce it. What they need is a graph that would show them total pain, so that they could see how much a short, sharp pain, say, paid off. Go in with a big force and get the killing over with. There's the initial spike but look at the total. Maybe worth it, maybe not. Figure the area under the curve.
How would you figure this one: Obama's back-and-forth on the wall, starting with the destruction of the Qaddafi column to Benghazi (war), then "out of there in a week" (politics), then CIA on the ground (war), then the turnover to NATO (politics), and now (also NYT, 4-21-11) "sending Predator drones." The linguistic comfort in that last choice (he frankly makes war while satisfying the political need to keep our people alive) can't conceal the fact that Obama is in great pain. Now what you have to figure is the amount of pain there would have been if he had let the Qaddafi column go to Benghazi and smash the rebels right there.
I see we're going to have to factor in the ability of the American public to bear the sight of what clearly would have been a slaughter in Benghazi, but that at the moment is too much for me to go into. I welcome ideas and will take up the problem in a later post.
Sunday, April 17, 2011
20. "Humanitarian crisis"
"To help avert a humanitarian crisis" is, President Obama explained, the reason our planes bombed Qaddafi forces heading for Benghazi. Now Qaddafi forces are using deadly cluster bombs against Misurata and Britain and France want him to join in on an air attack on them in order to "better fulfill the United Nations mandate to protect civilians" (NYT, 4-16-11).
When does a humanitarian crisis end? The first one must have ended when the Benghazi column was destroyed, since President Obama then turned operations over to NATO. No crisis, no reason for America to join in. Now, by the same standard of danger to civilians, we have another crisis. How long will they keep coming?
As I read yesterday's newspaper I kept hearing Carl von Clausewitz, the German war philosopher, telling Obama across 200 years that the crises will keep coming and likely get worse until one side gives in. Each side, according to Clausewitz, will think that its next inhumanity will be so unbearable that the other side will be the one to give in. Inhumanity (the right word for what's done to the enemy, soldiers or not) is the way to win, and once you start it, and trigger the spirit of revenge, it never turns itself off. Only the naive think war is anything but reciprocal inhumanity.
That's the law of war. But there's another law, applicable to observers considering intervention, which says that human beings can't bear to watch inhumanity. That law comes into play now when we (the U. S., Obama) consider what we might do to end the present inhumanity in Libya. One choice is to intervene and be so thoroughly inhumane to the Qaddafi forces that they give in. That could be quick. The other is to refrain from intervention and watch the Qaddafi forces be inhumane to the rebels. That could be quick too. Either way somebody is going to have to be seriously inhumane. That's the only way wars between determined people have ever been ended. Directed inhumanity by outside powers has ended many wars in the past. The difference this time is that we're all going to have to watch.
Watching the inhumanity could be so hard for the electorate to bear that the President will not be re-elected. How can he avoid that? By calibrating his intervention so that the visible inhumanity never becomes so hard to bear that voters hold it against him. (This is to read "humanitarian crisis" as "political crisis," and define it as "the point at which television images of inhumanity become unbearable.")
One danger to Obama in calibrating his inhumanity is that he won't ever inflict enough (it's the hardest kind of fine-tuning in the world) to keep the Qaddafi forces' infliction of inhumanity on the rebels from being successful. He'll discover that only through an unbearably visible infliction of inhumanity can he end Qaddafi's inhumanity. The closer this is to the election the more painful this will be.
The other danger is that his calibration leaves the two sides so balanced that low-grade inhumanity remains visible on the nation's screens for years. That might not endanger his election but it could well endanger his place in history, something Presidents are bound to worry about.
When you really feel for Obama in his pain, as I did after reading the paper, you have crazy dreams of what would soften it. I dreamed of an electorate that had studied Clausewitz. "There, there," they now say to him, "we know what war is. If you refuse to intervene we can stand to watch the rebels being slaughtered. We won't hold it against you. And if you intervene, as long as you do it realistically and intelligently — that is to say, with sufficient inhumanity — we won't hold that against you either."
Monday, March 21, 2011
11. Word-Watch: The Libyan Intervention
Was ever a president in a more ticklish semantic situation? American and allied planes have just wiped out a Gadhafi column heading for Benghazi. If ever a military action deserved the name "surgical strike" this one did. It was precise, limited, clean, and expertly done. Yet the Obama administration couldn't call it a "surgical strike" because that was Lyndon Johnson's expression for the first actions that sucked us into Viet Nam. Use of it would provoke the here-we-go-again response.
The same is probably true of "evil." Obama can't use it because it was George W. Bush's high-suction word for the "axis" Iraq was said to be part of. No careful speechwriter wants to remind the left and middle of the right's play (with a "more theological" word than "hatred") for evangelical support. So there goes that one, no matter what awful thing Gadhafi does.
The expression "protecting civilians," used to describe the aim of the whole operation (Odyssey Dawn), comes with none of that earlier baggage but already it's causing trouble. It covered what, according to the Associated Press, we were doing in that strike, "preventing Moammar Gadhafi's forces from inflicting more violence on civilians — particularly in and around the rebel stronghold of Benghazi." Trying to picture civilians who weren't rebels and rebels who weren't civilians and locate them all with respect to the stronghold was too much even for the straight-faced NBC reporter.
You can find a word a casualty-wary public will accept but it's so hard to keep from stretching it. The other aim of Odyssey Dawn was to "degrade the Libyan military's ability to contest a no-fly zone." For the Benghazi strike you had to stretch the acceptable "no-fly" to "no-drive." If you didn't you had something like "tanks caught taxiing toward rebel stronghold." You could tell by the reporter's face that this line wouldn't hold for long, at least among the verbally sophisticated.
Does the reaction of the sophisticated, the reporters and the pundits and the professors, matter much? It's the voting masses (meaning only those so busy making a living they don't have time for careful examination) who in the end determine military action. If suffering humanity is to be relieved, and these words work on those masses to relieve it, what case do we have for a sophisticated view?