Saturday, November 15, 2014

265. The Big Speech that Could Have Saved the Democrats


 
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In the speech I have wanted to hear for a long time now, a Democratic president or presidential candidate gets publicly sick of being called weak or wimpy by Republicans.  Just because he has been acting deliberately and cautiously.  So he calls for national TV time, gets up on his hind legs, acknowledges that the Republicans are making his people look like egghead, nattering nabob, no-drama wimps, and spits in their eye.

 The classic case is the Republicans crowding Jimmy Carter into the wimp corner because he isn't doing anything effective about our embassy people taken hostage by the Iranians.  In the event Carter flutters around, his forces bungle a rescue attempt, and he moves further back into the cartoonist's cage —with his chicken neck protruding from the presidential collar more thinly every week.

Here's the alternative spit-in-your-eye speech, as it would be delivered to his PR people for politic phrasing: "Of course we're helpless here.  All civilized nations are helpless before barbarians who abuse another country's envoys in their own capitals.  These Iranian barbarians count on our civilization to keep us from picking up ten Iranians in this country for every American they pick up in theirs.  Which we could do if we had the balls.  Barbarian balls.  The thing is, we understand civilization and they don't.  We know that it's stronger than barbarism, and it shows it by its restraint.  Just because I'm restrained now doesn't meant I won't be ready to cream their ass when the time comes.  So where the hell do you get off, Republicans, calling my restraint weakness?"

The spit-in-your-eye genre includes the speech John Kerry should have made after Republicans faulted him for having called the Vietnam War a "mistake":  "Yeah, that's what a lot of us thought after we got over there and got into it.  I still think so.  I'm proud of being the spokesman for those thoughtful soldiers and the only thing I regret is that I didn't speak better. How about you, Dick Cheney?  How about you, George Bush?  Do you have anything to regret about your stand on Vietnam?  Do you think that war was not a mistake?  You know damn well we were weaker after that big military action than we were before because after the first Bush's success you crowed that we had finally "recovered" from Vietnam.  Maybe you need to ask yourself whether we're weaker or stronger now after the second Bush's big military action.  Maybe, now that you've raised the Vietnam issue, we ought to go into the whole matter of big military actions."  Then his speechwriters smooth out the language and maybe add a few digs about people who hadn't been anywhere in wars and never gotten into them.

The SIYE speech is an unequivocal rejection of the downplay, mute, ignore or distance-yourself-from advice presidents sometimes get from realistic, tuned-to-the-electorate smart guys on their staffs when their man faces an embarrassment. Apparently that's the kind of advice Vice President Al Gore got from his consultants when he separated himself from his president, Bill Clinton, who was handing on the great gift of peace and prosperity, but also handing on the embarrassing Monica Lewinsky scandal.  "Distance yourself, distance yourself," say the smart guys.

"The hell I will," says Al Gore, rolling up a ball of spit.  "This is the guy I spent eight good years with, who trusted me and made me vice president, and who gave the country peace and prosperity.  He gave me credit for helping with all that.  You think I'm going to renounce that accomplishment?  Desert such a friend and benefactor?  Just because at the moment he smells bad?  It's when you smell bad, and people know you smell bad, and you know they know it, that you need friends most. Well, I'm Bill Clinton's friend and I'm sticking by him, and you give me a speech telling the country that.  Let the Republicans make what they will of it."

Smart consultants say you shouldn't respond to negative portrayals of you.  You give them publicity and you let the other side guide the discussion.   But if it's a wimp you're being portrayed as you can't just lie down in front of such pictures.  That's wimpy.  So, I think, you go for what Michael Dukakis should have gone for when the Republicans, pushing his wimpiness, circulated that picture of his little face peaking out from under a tank-driver's helmet.  "Shit," he says, "you encircle Curtis Lemay’s baby face with one of those things and you'll get a wuss too.   You'll really get it with Winston Churchill."  That's the spit-in-your-eye one-liner, a compromise between ignoring a petty attack and over-playing it.

You can't spit in a he-man's eye, though, unless you've got some follow-up words that will keep him off balance.  Carter had the language of civilized diplomacy, all cocked and ready for those who called him weak.  Gore had the language of loyalty and gratitude, loaded with the tradition of honorable friendship.  

But Obama now, what does he have?  He's got more he-men calling him weak than those two ever had.  We who know how a wimp president can affect a Congressional vote, and long for some spit in the Republican eye, have to worry about that.

Well, he certainly has the language of civilized scholarship.  Just what the 33 scholars of international relations had when they signed the argument against the Vietnam intervention.  It's what John F. Cady, Ohio University's specialist in Southeast Asia studies, had when he tried to explain the force of anti-colonialist and nationalist sentiment in that area, and how it complicated the anti-communists' explanation of motives there.  It's what most speakers at Vietnam teach-ins had.  And a fat lot of good it did them.

There's the problem.  How can a president make a rock-em, sock-em point when the point can't be understood without a lot of teaching?  Teachers make concessions.  "Yes, the Bush team was smart and imagined all sorts of things that could go wrong, as on Rumsfeld's list; it's just that every list was circumscribed by their hormones."  Politicians don't have time to be teachers, and they get none of the concessions — to take time, to be a little boring, to talk a little down, to be a little elitist, to scold — given to teachers.  They work with what the schools have given them.

This is a bigger problem for Obama than for any president I can remember.  "To this generation, facing the challenge of militant Islam, the horrors of terrorism, the slaughter in Syria, the breakdown of order in Iraq, the resurgence of the Taliban in Afghanistan, the rise of Isis in the Middle East, the sight of Americans beheaded in the desert, to you I say: stand around and wait!"  Oh man.

If he can't make that speech, how is he going to make a spit-in-your-eye a speech?  He's spent six years reducing drama and avoiding dumb moves.  Showing his difference from George Bush.  Adopting a different vocabulary, starting with that non-starter, "war on terrorism."  There is no moderate alternative to Bush's inflammatory terms that won't be satirized.  Axis of Veniality?  of Propensity to Barbarism?  of Doubtful Rationality?

But there are some angles Obama can play and Nicholas Kristof, in a June 14 NYT Op-Ed ("Obama's Weakness, or Ours?") suggested one of them: scolding the electorate.  Spit in the voter's eye! 

The speech, again to his staff for translation into nice language, would go like this: "Fellow Americans, I just can't believe you're swallowing all this crap about my weakness.  You've been to school, you know how to distinguish smart from weak.  You know that George Washington was smart to avoid battle with the British, not risking the army he had to keep in the field till the French came.  You know what Fabius gained by avoiding battle with Hannibal's Carthaginians.  And you know what the Athenians lost by not holding to Pericles' advice to stay inside their walls until their navy could degrade the Spartan forces.  They lost their ass.  In Sicily.  Because they couldn't stand the sight of Spartans plundering and burning outside their walls.  Didn't have the guts.  Atrocity-watching guts.  So they listened to Big Balls Cleon and followed Big Alcibiades to Spartan Sicily, where they lost their entire ass, first the left cheek (5100 men and 134 triremes) and then the right cheek (5000 more men, 73 more triremes).   (There were, at the start, only 40,000 men in Athens.)  One of the dumbest moves in history.

"Right now, though, a U. S. president is going to have a hard time making any kind of move.  After Big Balls Bush got our ass burned in Iraq the American public isn't going to let him risk a finger.  That's moves.  Talk now, that's something else.  They still like big talk.  It goes, in their mind, with strong leadership.  Do you know that polls show three quarters of the American public (that's you, friends), a year after Bush had clearly led us into a quagmire, still giving him credit for 'strong leadership'?

"You've forgotten what your teachers taught you about big talk, how to see through it.  And I'm reminding you of their teaching.  First rule: consider the source.  You hear that 'we’ve got a leader who doesn’t understand U.S. obligations and commitments around the world and is not prepared to act on them,' and that 'we’ve got a problem with weakness, and it’s centered right in the White House.'  That's Donald Rumsfeld, whose balls you are familiar with. 

"You hear that President Obama (not mentioned by name) is hiding behind the weariness of the public. 'I fully understand the sense of weariness. I fully understand that we must think: ‘Us, again?’ I know that we’ve been through two wars. I know that we’ve been vigilant against terrorism. I know that it’s hard. But leaders can’t afford to get tired. Leaders can’t afford to be weary.'  Who is this telling us that President Obama is weak and weary?  Condoleezza Rice, whose president never tired, never weakened, in the cause of liberty in the Middle East.

"But OK, I'll accept these Republicans' conception of weakness.  I'm weak.  And if I'm weak then Pericles was weak, and Fabius was weak, and George Washington was weak, and Nimitz and Spruance were weak (for "timidly" holding back carriers) and at the present time the American public is weak (for having the brains to learn by experience).   The only part of the public that isn't weak is the high-testosterone low-information part, the part that eats up what Cheney is saying on Fox Network.  That's apparently a large section of the Republican Party.  Well, let me tell you about these Republicans.  They don't know shit about strength and weakness."




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